Trump repeats Iran deal prediction as talks continue without agreement

US President Donald Trump has again predicted that a deal with Iran is close, even though no agreement has materialised after repeated similar claims since March. The latest prediction came on Monday local time, according to the supplied report, extending a pattern in which he has said at least 37 times that an accord was imminent. The remarks come against the backdrop of ongoing diplomacy and a war that has already had wide regional and economic consequences.

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The report says the predictions began on March 23, when Trump told reporters outside Air Force One that the two sides had reached "major points of agreement" and were "almost all points of agreement." Iran denied that any negotiations were taking place at that stage. Since then, Trump has repeatedly said Iran was close to settling, including comments that it wanted to "make a deal so badly" and was "begging to make a deal." The article says there have been three rounds of negotiations since April 2025, held in Muscat, Geneva and Rome, followed by Pakistan-mediated Islamabad talks on April 11-12, 2026. It also says Trump announced a ceasefire on April 7 that was originally intended to last two weeks while both sides finalised an agreement.

No agreement followed that ceasefire, and the latest prediction again appears to have outpaced any confirmed diplomatic breakthrough. The issue matters because the conflict has already had major humanitarian, military and economic effects. The report says the war, which began on February 28, 2026, has killed more than 3,500 people in Lebanon, displaced over a million people and claimed 29 Israeli soldiers.

It also says US Democratic senators have estimated the conflict could cost the United States between $630 billion and $1 trillion, underlining the scale of the stakes around any eventual settlement. The Strait of Hormuz is another reason the talks are being watched closely. The report says 65% to 70% of Indian crude oil imports transit the waterway, making any disruption a direct concern for energy markets in India.

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A ceasefire that reopens the strait would substantially relieve pressure on those markets, according to the supplied material, which helps explain why even unconfirmed signs of progress draw attention well beyond the immediate conflict zone. The repeated predictions also highlight the gap between political messaging and the slower pace of diplomacy. Trump's comments have suggested that an agreement is near on multiple occasions, but the report says each time no deal followed.

That pattern has become part of the wider story of the negotiations, especially as the war continues and the diplomatic process remains unresolved. The supplied material does not say whether the latest prediction was tied to any new formal proposal, nor does it confirm any change in Iran's position. It also does not provide details on the current status of the ceasefire or whether the talks in the various cities have produced any fresh convergence.

What to watch next is whether either side confirms a concrete breakthrough, or whether the latest prediction again proves premature.

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