Trump approval falls to record low as Democrats lead midterm ballot polls

United States President Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to 31%, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll, marking another record low in his political career. The same survey found Democrats leading Republicans by 12 points in a generic congressional ballot test. The findings add to a series of recent polls pointing to growing voter dissatisfaction ahead of the November 3 midterm elections.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll is the latest in a run of surveys showing pressure on Trump and his party. An NBC poll released on Sunday found 71% of Americans said the country was on the wrong track, while 55% said they would vote for the Democratic Party if an election were held that day. A Washington Post/ABC/Ipsos poll released on Monday put Trump's approval at a record-low 33%, with seven in 10 respondents saying petrol or gasoline was becoming unaffordable.

The polling trend matters because the midterms will determine control of the House and Senate. A 12-point Democratic lead in a generic ballot is a significant warning sign for Republicans, especially when combined with low approval ratings for the president. The surveys suggest economic concerns, particularly over fuel costs and affordability, are shaping public opinion.

The broader backdrop is a period of political and economic strain that has fed into voter frustration. The supplied material links the rise in disapproval to the February 28 launch of the US-Israel war on Iran, which it says pushed up petrol and diesel prices and had knock-on effects across the economy. That context helps explain why affordability has become a central issue in the polling.

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For Trump, the numbers point to a difficult political environment as the campaign season intensifies. For Republicans, the gap in the generic ballot suggests they may face headwinds in districts and states where economic concerns are strongest. For Democrats, the polls indicate an opening, although the outcome will depend on whether current sentiment holds through election day.

What remains unclear is whether the latest polling represents a temporary dip or a more durable shift in voter attitudes. The next major point to watch is whether further surveys confirm the same pattern and whether campaign messaging changes in response. The midterm elections on November 3 will provide the clearest test of whether these numbers translate into votes.

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