Israel faces coalition deadlock as Netanyahu stages comeback after inconclusive election
Israel is facing a hung parliament after an inconclusive parliamentary election, leaving three broad paths for the next government: a unity coalition, a minority administration or a fresh vote. The deadlock comes as Benjamin Netanyahu is described as staging an extraordinary political comeback despite losing his majority. If no rival bloc can assemble enough support, he could remain in office as caretaker prime minister.
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Former government spokesman Eylon Levy said the outcome would require one side to abandon key coalition promises. He said Netanyahu's recovery was remarkable given the security failures surrounding the Hamas-led attacks of 7 October 2023, the war that followed and continuing domestic unrest. Levy also said Netanyahu has lost his majority and that it appears unlikely he will hold one, but that he remains caretaker prime minister unless another leader can form a government.
The result leaves Israel's political system in a familiar but difficult position, with coalition arithmetic once again determining who governs. Arab parties have made substantial gains in the election, with early projections pointing to potentially record representation in the Knesset. That has revived debate over whether their support could help an alternative bloc, including one led by Gadi Eisenkot, to form a government.
The stakes are significant because the next coalition will have to navigate the political fallout from the October 7 attacks, the war and the divisions that have deepened since then. Levy said Netanyahu's alliance with ultra-Orthodox parties and their demand for an exemption from military service has fuelled public dissatisfaction. The election therefore reflects not only a contest over leadership, but also wider disputes over security, conscription and the shape of Israel's governing coalition.
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The possibility of an Eisenkot-led minority government supported by some Arab parties has been discussed, but several opposition figures have ruled out governing with them. Levy warned that such an arrangement could trigger a backlash and potentially strengthen Netanyahu in a future election. That leaves the opposition with a difficult choice between compromise and the risk of another vote.
What happens next will depend on whether any bloc can secure enough support to command a majority in the Knesset. If coalition talks fail, Israel could move toward another election while Netanyahu continues as caretaker prime minister. The main question now is whether rivals can overcome ideological divisions quickly enough to prevent that outcome.
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