Trump warns midterms are the most important in his lifetime as Republicans face polling headwinds
Donald Trump has held his final major campaign event before Tuesday's US midterm elections, casting the vote as decisive for the future of Republican control in Congress. Speaking in Washington, DC on Monday afternoon, he said the contest was "the most important midterm, I believe, in our lifetime". He also urged supporters to keep Congress "strong and free" as polling points to a difficult night for his party.
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Trump acknowledged that his Republican Party faces an uphill battle, and he pointed to the long-standing pattern of the president's party losing ground in midterm elections. Analysts cited in the reporting say Republicans could be swamped in many House races, while control of the Senate is also at risk, though those contests are seen as more competitive. The elections are due on Tuesday local time.
The stakes are high because the result will shape whether Republicans retain control of Congress or whether Democrats can gain enough seats to take the upper chamber. The reporting says Democrats would need to keep all of their current Senate seats and win four more to secure control. Trump has spent recent weeks trying to bolster support in states that have usually been reliable for him, including Texas.
The campaign comes against a backdrop of weak approval ratings for Trump, who returned to the White House two years ago. Polls suggest only about 37% of Americans approve of him, which would be the second-lowest approval rating heading into a midterm election for any US president since the end of World War II. That polling environment adds pressure to Republican candidates in both chambers.
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Midterm elections in the United States often serve as a referendum on the sitting president, and the historical pattern has usually worked against the party in power. Since 1934, the president's party has lost House seats in all but three midterms, while Senate outcomes have been less predictable. In this cycle, the Republican effort is being tested in a number of closely watched races, including in Texas, where one Republican candidate is trailing in some polls.
What remains unclear is how far the polling will translate into actual seat losses once votes are counted on Tuesday. The immediate question is whether Republicans can limit damage in the House and hold the Senate majority. The result will determine the balance of power in Congress and set the tone for the next phase of Trump's presidency.
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